Polyester market gains short-term support with partially recovering end-user market – ChinaTexnet.com
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Polyester market gains short-term support with partially recovering end-user market

2019-08-21 08:05:39 CCFGroup

Sales of polyester fiber improved intensively under low price since Aug. Stocks of PFY and PSF were very low by last week, and inventory of PSF has been lower than the earlier low appeared on Jul 2. Orders for PET bottle chip were tolerable and stocks were slanting low now. Thus, low finished goods inventory supported polyester products firmly. In addition, cash flow of many polyester products was during positive territory now.

Price and sales are both bullish for polyester operating rate, and plants that have turnaround or cut production before gradually resume production. The polyester polymerization rate is expected to be above 91% this week.

Speculative procurement slightly improved after PFY price gradually touched bottom and feedstock market had smaller downward risk. Sales ratio surged on last Wednesday, higher than previous improvement.

In addition, in view of fabric manufacturing market, orders for some descriptions increased, such as stretch fabric and fabric for curtain in Wujiang, warp-knitted velvet and super-soft fabric in Haining, polar fleece and Roman fabric in Xiaoshan and Shaoxing . Operating rate of fabric manufacturing plants grew to 68% now, up by 11% compared with last low in Jul. However, sales of conventional fabric remained bleak, such as the polyester pongee and polyester taffeta in Wujiang, brushed fabric in Changxing and flannel in Changshu, and the stocks were slanting high.

As for twisting market, with rising run rate of fabric mills and better profit in some regions, O/R recovery of some twisting plants was faster than that of fabric mills. Run rate of twisting units rose to 80%, up by 17% compared with early low in early-Aug.

In short run, rising run rate of downstream plants is supportive to the rigid demand for polyester filament yarn plants, but the speculative demand may be limited affected by feedstock rebounding range and the occupation of capital by inventory in downstream market. Downstream plants are expected to improve purchasing periodically when price is low. Polymerization rate and polyester price enjoy sound support with low finished goods inventory, but the recovery is expected to be capped impacted by capacity expansion on upstream market and high stocks of downstream plants, unless supply of upstream market reduces.