China's PSF imports from Southeast Asia and Africa in Jan-Aug, 2021

According to the China customs, in Aug 2021, China's uncombed polyester staple fiber exports were 67,800 tons, down 0.16% month on month and down 8.02% year on year, and imports were 13,800 tons, up 1.71% month on month and 18.06% year on year. Compared with the same period in 2019, exports declined by 9.51% and imports reduced by 27.79%.

Currently, domestic PSF offers tick up, and export prices also follow up. But recently, with the strict dual control policy, domestic sales are smooth, and exports may be limited. A few plants conclude previous orders. Recently, sea freight is heard to reduce somewhat, but the containers remain tight.

HS code 55032000 is synthetic staple fibers, of polyesters, not carded, including virgin PSF and recycled PSF. And the imports from Southeast Asia and African are mainly the recycled PSF. The following are the changes in recent years.

In the import origins of PSF, Myanmar appeared in 2017, and the overall imports were not much. In 2019, one HC re-PSF production line in Hangzhou was moved to Myanmar, and has not started production till now. In 2020, the imports reduced largely, and in the first eight months of 2021, imports were 378 tons.

Vietnam started to exert force in 2018. Following the solid waste ban, domestic plants moved to foreign countries gradually. Vietnam has gathered solid re-PSF and a few HC virgin PSF plants. Imports in 2018 soared to 13,113 tons and reached 19,196 tons in 2019. In 2020, imports climbed up to 19,955 tons. Imports have exceeded over 10,000 tons in the first quarter of 2021, and reached 20,508 tons in the first half year, which has surpassed the overall imports of 2020. In Jan-Aug, 2021, imports totaled 25,510 tons. In terms of the monthly data of Vietnam, the imports have been high since October 2020. Previously, the monthly imports were 1,000-2,000 tons, but since October, 2020, the imports maintained above 2,000 tons, even 4,600-4,800yuan/mt in January and March, 2021. It was mainly attributed to the demand recovery, larger price spread between virgin PSF and recycled PSF and the speculative demand around the Lunar New Year. Last year, a few new plants engaged solid re-PSF put into operation, with a capacity of 50 tons per day, and the products are mainly delivered to China, so the monthly imports from Vietnam are higher than last year.

The imports from Thailand has tripled in 2019 compared to 2016, to 45,000 tons. The local re-PSF capacity is about 250kta in 2020, and the competition focuses on HC re-PSF. In January 2021, Jiulongthai Phase II unit started up, with a HC re-PSF capacity of 100 tons per day. The products mainly export to Europe and the United States. In 2020, imports were 42,127 tons, and in the first eight months of 2021, imports totaled 19,884 tons.

In January-February, 2021, imports from Cambodia were seen a small volume, while the imports were zero in March. In the first eight months of 2021, imports totaled 1,261 tons.

Imports from Southeast Asia were 23,749 tons in 2016, 29,228 tons in 2017, 43,374 tons in 2018, 98,390 tons in 2019, 78,779 tons in 2020, and 56,416 tons in Jan-Aug, 2021.

The African market has gradually risen in recent years, especially in 2018-2019, some domestic production lines have also been transferred to Africa. Therefore, the exports to China has increased rapidly from 2019. Imports in 2020 have grown by 28%, mainly from South Africa and Nigeria, but in 2021 imports from South Africa shrank sharply affected by the riots, which caused disruptions of plant operation. Imports from Nigeria were normal. In March 2021, imports reached 2,728 tons. The table below shows imports from Africa.

Affected by the dual control policy in Sep, supply reduces and operation is uncertain. In the fourth quarter, the production cut may continue. Besides, both virgin PSF and re-PSF prices move up, and the price spread keeps above 1,000yuan/mt, which helps foreign re-PSF to flow into domestic market. Pay attention to the development of dual control policy and sea freight change.